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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
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Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
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Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
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Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
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Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
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DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
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Idioma : |
Inglés |
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Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
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Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
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Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
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Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
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Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
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Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500
001 1054517
005 2018-09-24
008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI
100 1 $aBASSU, S.
245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2014
500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014.
520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information.
650 $aCLIMA
650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO
650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE
650 $aMAÍZ
650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN
650 $aTEMPERATURA
653 $aAGMIP
653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE
653 $aCLIMATE
653 $aCO2
653 $aGRAIN YIELD
653 $aMAIZE
653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON
653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS
653 $aSIMULATION MODELS
653 $aTEMPERATURE
700 1 $aBRISSON, N.
700 1 $aDURAND, J.L.
700 1 $aBOOTE, K.
700 1 $aLIZASO, J.
700 1 $aJONES, J.W.
700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C.
700 1 $aRUANE, A.C.
700 1 $aADAM, M.
700 1 $aBARON, C.
700 1 $aBASSO, B.
700 1 $aBIERNATH, C.
700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H.
700 1 $aCONIJN, S.
700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L
700 1 $aDERYNG, D.
700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE
700 1 $aGAYLER, S.
700 1 $aGRASSINI, P.
700 1 $aHATFIELD, J.
700 1 $aHOEK, S.
700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C.
700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R.
700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R.
700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.
700 1 $aKUMAR, N.
700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D.
700 1 $aMÜLLER, C.
700 1 $aNENDEL, C.
700 1 $aPRIESACK, E.
700 1 $aPRAVIA, V.
700 1 $aSAU, F.
700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I.
700 1 $aTAO, F.
700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E.
700 1 $aTIMLIN, D.
700 1 $aWAHA, K.
773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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INIA Treinta y Tres (TT) |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Tacuarembó. |
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Fecha actual : |
10/08/2016 |
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Actualizado : |
20/09/2019 |
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Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
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Circulación / Nivel : |
Internacional - -- |
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Autor : |
BALMELLI, G.; SIMETO, S.; TORRES, D.; HIRIGOYEN, A.; CASTILLO, A.; ALTIER, N.; PÉREZ, G.; DIEZ, J.J. |
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Afiliación : |
GUSTAVO DANIEL BALMELLI HERNANDEZ, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; SOFIA SIMETO FERRARI, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; DIEGO GABRIEL TORRES DINI, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; ANDRES EDUARDO HIRIGOYEN DOMINGUEZ, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; ALICIA MARIA CASTILLO SALLE, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; NORA ADRIANA ALTIER MANZINI, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; GUILLERMO PÉREZ, Nora Altier, Guillermo Pérez, Julio J. Diez; JULIO J. DIEZ. |
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Título : |
Impact of Teratosphaeria nubilosa over tree growth and survival of Eucalyptus globulus and Eucalyptus maidenii in Uruguay. |
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Fecha de publicación : |
2016 |
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Fuente / Imprenta : |
New Forests, 2016, v. 47, p. 829-843. |
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DOI : |
10.1007/s11056-016-9547-3 |
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Idioma : |
Inglés |
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Notas : |
Article history: Received: 14 April 2016; Accepted: 15 July 2016; Published online: 18 July 2016. |
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Contenido : |
Teratosphaeria nubilosa severely affects young plantations of Eucalyptus globulus and Eucalyptus maidenii in Uruguay. This work analyzes the effect of the damage caused by T. nubilosa on tree growth and survival of E. globulus and E. maidenii, based on data from a trial naturally infected by this pathogen. The effect of defoliation and proportion of adult foliage on tree growth and mortality was evaluated at 50 months of age. Defoliation in E. globulus was higher than in E. maidenii, reaching average values of 52.5 and 28.8 %, respectively, at 21 months of age. By contrast, E. globulus showed higher precocity of vegetative phase change than E. maidenii. Although the damage threshold for diameter growth was 40 % on E. globulus and 20 % on E. maidenii, the detrimental effect on growth was similar in both species, where the most defoliated trees suffered a reduction in diameter of 49.4 and 47.5 %, respectively, at 50 months of age. Mortality increased significantly when defoliation exceeded 30 % in E. globulus and 40 % in E. maidenii. The results showed that E. maidenii has lower defoliation, higher growth and lower mortality than E. globulus after epidemics of T. nubilosa. However, the lower defoliation and higher proportion of juvenile foliage showed by E. maidenii represent a greater source of inoculum, suggesting that a large-scale replacement of E. globulus by E. maidenii in areas where T. nubilosa is a problem could be risky from an epidemiological point of view. |
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Palabras claves : |
COMMERCIAL PLANTATION; DEFOLIATION; FOREST PATHOLOGY; MYCOSPHAERELLA LEAF DISEASE; TERATOSPHAERIA NUBILOSA. |
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Thesagro : |
MYCOSPHAERELLA. |
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Asunto categoría : |
K70 Daños al bosque y protección forestal |
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Marc : |
LEADER 02464naa a2200301 a 4500
001 1055223
005 2019-09-20
008 2016 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1007/s11056-016-9547-3$2DOI
100 1 $aBALMELLI, G.
245 $aImpact of Teratosphaeria nubilosa over tree growth and survival of Eucalyptus globulus and Eucalyptus maidenii in Uruguay.$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2016
500 $aArticle history: Received: 14 April 2016; Accepted: 15 July 2016; Published online: 18 July 2016.
520 $aTeratosphaeria nubilosa severely affects young plantations of Eucalyptus globulus and Eucalyptus maidenii in Uruguay. This work analyzes the effect of the damage caused by T. nubilosa on tree growth and survival of E. globulus and E. maidenii, based on data from a trial naturally infected by this pathogen. The effect of defoliation and proportion of adult foliage on tree growth and mortality was evaluated at 50 months of age. Defoliation in E. globulus was higher than in E. maidenii, reaching average values of 52.5 and 28.8 %, respectively, at 21 months of age. By contrast, E. globulus showed higher precocity of vegetative phase change than E. maidenii. Although the damage threshold for diameter growth was 40 % on E. globulus and 20 % on E. maidenii, the detrimental effect on growth was similar in both species, where the most defoliated trees suffered a reduction in diameter of 49.4 and 47.5 %, respectively, at 50 months of age. Mortality increased significantly when defoliation exceeded 30 % in E. globulus and 40 % in E. maidenii. The results showed that E. maidenii has lower defoliation, higher growth and lower mortality than E. globulus after epidemics of T. nubilosa. However, the lower defoliation and higher proportion of juvenile foliage showed by E. maidenii represent a greater source of inoculum, suggesting that a large-scale replacement of E. globulus by E. maidenii in areas where T. nubilosa is a problem could be risky from an epidemiological point of view.
650 $aMYCOSPHAERELLA
653 $aCOMMERCIAL PLANTATION
653 $aDEFOLIATION
653 $aFOREST PATHOLOGY
653 $aMYCOSPHAERELLA LEAF DISEASE
653 $aTERATOSPHAERIA NUBILOSA
700 1 $aSIMETO, S.
700 1 $aTORRES, D.
700 1 $aHIRIGOYEN, A.
700 1 $aCASTILLO, A.
700 1 $aALTIER, N.
700 1 $aPÉREZ, G.
700 1 $aDIEZ, J.J.
773 $tNew Forests, 2016$gv. 47, p. 829-843.
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